NBA Top Weekend Power Trends



2008-11-21

Wednesday and Thursday offered several different showdowns between the top contenders in the NBA. When the action was said and done, not surprisingly, it was Boston and Los Angeles left standing atop their respective conferences. We've already seen a ton of early stories developing, and through the first three weeks, eight teams have reached the 8-win mark. Amazingly, none of those clubs are from the Southwest Division, which saw four teams win more than 50 games in '07-08. Here's a look at what's on tap for this weekend, including the Top StatFox Power Trends to consider.

On Friday there are 13 big games to whet your wagering appetite. The ESPN doubleheader features Houston visiting Washington followed by New Orleans taking on the Thunder in Oklahoma City. The Rockets go into the weekend as the only team over .500 in the once power Southwest Division. At 7-5, they lead the Hornets by one game. The Wizards meanwhile are struggling, off to a 1-8 start. The nightcap is a mismatch of sorts as well, with Oklahoma City having won just once in its first 12 games. Still, the Hornets are just 3-7 ATS and playing as a 10-point road favorite, so winning and covering the number might be two different stories. Other key games to keep an eye on Friday include Utah/San Antonio and Denver/Los Angeles.

Saturday's board offers nine games, including a quick turnaround rematch between New Orleans and Oklahoma City. After playing at their part-time home from a couple years back on Friday, the Hornets will return to their current home on Saturday. With the spread having been set at 10 at OKC, expect a mid-teens line for this one. Much of HC Byron Scott's team's early struggles can be attributed to their opponents shooting 45.8% from the floor so far. With the Thunder shooting just 40.7%, look for those season numbers to improve for New Orleans over the next two days. Elsewhere on Saturday is a showdown in the East between Atlanta and Cleveland. The Hawks have cooled of late, going 1-4 SU & ATS in their L5 games heading into the weekend after the 6-1 start. Cleveland has been stellar at home, winning its first six games, all convincingly.

The weekend gets wrapped up with five Sunday contests, including one for the early risers. Boston visits Toronto for a 12:35 PM ET start, so be sure to get your action down on this one before the NFL kicks off. The Celtics remain the class of the East, having proven it on Thursday in their easy 98-80 win over Detroit. At 10-2, they have only covered the spread five times however. Toronto is just 3-5 in its L8 games after opening the season with three straight wins. A bit later in the day, Golden State will visit Philadelphia at 5:05 PM ET, and Chicago will continue its long west coast trip with a visit to Denver at 9:05 PM ET.

Here are some of the top StatFox Power Trends that will be in play over the next three days.

Friday, 11/21/2008
(501) NEW JERSEY at (502) TORONTO 7:05 PM
NEW JERSEY is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in road games vs. good 3PT shooting teams (>=36%) over L2 seasons. The average score was NEW JERSEY 93.4, OPPONENT 106.4 - (Rating = 2*)

(515) UTAH at (516) SAN ANTONIO 8:35 PM
SAN ANTONIO is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) at home vs. good shooting teams (>=46% of their shots) over L3 seasons. The average score was SAN ANTONIO 100.9, OPPONENT 92.0 - (Rating = 2*)

(523) DENVER at (524) LA LAKERS 10:35 PM
LA LAKERS are 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) vs. good defensive teams (shooting pct defense <=43%) over L2 seasons. The average score was LA LAKERS 94.4, OPPONENT 105.2 - (Rating = 3*)

(525) CHICAGO at (526) GOLDEN STATE 10:35 PM
GOLDEN ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) at home vs. up-tempo teams averaging >=83 FG Atts/game over L2 seasons. The average score was GOLDEN STATE 112.7, OPPONENT 111.8 - (Rating = 1*)

Saturday, 11/22/2008
(703) MILWAUKEE at (704) CHARLOTTE 7:05 PM
MILWAUKEE is 32-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over L3 seasons. The average score was MILWAUKEE 98.2, OPPONENT 102.8 - (Rating = 1*)

(707) ATLANTA at (708) CLEVELAND 7:35 PM
CLEVELAND is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 99+ PPG over L2 seasons. The average score was CLEVELAND 98.2, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 1*)

(715) UTAH at (716) MEMPHIS 8:05 PM
UTAH is 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) vs. terrible 3 point shooting teams -making <=30% of their attempts since 1996. The average score was UTAH 98.1, OPPONENT 89.0 - (Rating = 2*)

Sunday, 11/23/2008
(501) BOSTON at (502) TORONTO 12:35 PM
BOSTON is 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games vs. good 3PT shooting teams (>=36%) over L3 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 95.2, OPPONENT 93.2 - (Rating = 2*)

(503) GOLDEN STATE at (504) PHILADELPHIA 5:05 PM
Cheeks is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) vs. explosive offensive teams scoring 103+ PPG ascoach of PHILADELPHIA. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 98.0, OPPONENT 105.5 - (Rating = 1*)

(509) SACRAMENTO at (510) LA LAKERS 9:35 PM
LA LAKERS are 36-12 ATS (+22.8 Units) vs. poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ PPG over L2 seasons. The average score was LA LAKERS 113.0, OPPONENT 102.1 - (Rating = 3*)

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